Wednesday 28 October, 2020

COVID-19 cases plateauing, says Dr Hinds

Epidemic curve of COVID-19 cases as of October 16, 2020

Epidemic curve of COVID-19 cases as of October 16, 2020

Epidemiologist Dr Avery Hinds says the number of positive COVID-19 cases have plateaued over the last two months.

Speaking during the Ministry of Health's virtual media briefing on Saturday, Dr Hinds said there has been a slower decline in the number of cases across September into October.

He said: "This graph is the one that we use to get a better idea of the direction of the epidemic, and what we are seeing from it is that coming from the peak of late August we had a faster decline from late August to early September, and then a slower decline across September into October. Basically, it's sort of a flatline if you look at the line running through the graph. That means we're sort of plateauing with regard to the number of new people testing positive on a given day."

The epidemiologist added emphasis must now be placed on risk mitigation.

Dr Hinds said: "If we are seeing a plateau, meaning that we're not really going down, they are going down very slowly if all, it means that our behaviours at present in the population are just about keeping the virus bubbling slowly somewhere along the line. What we need to focus on as we enter this phase of trying to eliminate virus transmission, is we really need to focus on risk mitigation or risk reduction in our individual interactions."

To date, 5,241 individuals have been infected with COVID-19 locally.

Of that total, 1,601 are active, 3,545 have recovered and 98 are hospitalised.

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