Monday 13 July, 2020

Met Office predicts above-normal tropical cyclone activity for T&T

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The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS) is predicting above-normal tropical cyclone activity for Trinidad and Tobago, during the 2020 hurricane season.

The Met Office issued its 2020 Hurricane Season Outlook in the Area of Interest (AoI) for Trinidad and Tobago on Monday.

The TTMS seasonal hurricane forecast shows an 85 percent chance for above-normal, a 13 percent chance for near-normal and a two percent chance for below-normal tropical cyclone activity in the area of interest for Trinidad and Tobago.

It is predicting that the most likely number of named tropical storms (winds of at least 34 
knots / 39 mph) to occur in the Area of Interest during the June to November period is 6, with an 
85 percent chance that the number will be in the range of 4 to 8 named storms. The 1981-2010 long-term average for the AoI is 3.

The most likely number of hurricanes (winds of at least 64 knots / 74 mph) predicted to occur in the AoI during the June to November period is 2, with an 85 percent chance that the number will be in the range of 1 to 3. The 1981-2010 long-term average is 1.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.

The Office of Disaster Preparedness and Management (ODPM) along with some of its critical stakeholderagencies, which are involved in relief and recovery operations have begun preparing for it.

In a statement on Friday, it noted that this year’s upcoming Hurricane Season has been predicted to be an above-normal one, mixed in with the presence of COVID-19.

It said it therefore recognises that there is a dire need for Trinidad and Tobago to be in an even stronger state of readiness than previously.

"The COVID-19 pandemic is impacting many nations across the globe, and a paradigm shift has occurred in the manner in which people interact daily. For example, one such shift is the requirement for social distancing.

This consideration, along with the potential impacts of adverse weather conditions, will undoubtedly pose a challenge for response and support agencies in 2020," it said.

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