Sunday 24 March, 2019

New tropical wave over Atlantic has low chance of cyclone formation

The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (Met Office) is currently monitoring an active tropical wave over the Atlantic for development into a tropical storm.

However, there is a low (10 percent) chance of formation in 48 hours, as conditions are not as favourable.

According to the Miami-based National Hurricane Center, the broad, low-latitude tropical wave is located more than 800 miles east of French Guiana and is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganised shower activity.

It notes that any development of this system should be slow to occur during the next couple of days before upper-level winds become unfavorable around mid-week, prior to the disturbance reaching the northeastern coast of South America.

The tropical wave is expected to move westward at an approximated 15 mph during the next few days. 

The Met Office said even if the tropical wave develops into a tropical storm, it will experience difficulty in maintaining that status.

But, the Met Office has advised that an increase in showers and thunderstorms is likely during the latter half of the week associated with the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone and a few tropical waves and troughs.

“Regardless of formation or not, T&T is expected to experience associated showers and thunderstorms week.” The Met Office said.

Significant rainfall activity is expected on Monday, while a peak in activity is likely to begin on Wednesday.

With the expected rainfall amounts, the Met Office has warned of the possibility of flooding, especially in areas so prone. 

The public is advised to monitor conditions and updates from the Met Office and the Office of Disaster Preparedness and Management.


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